Mariners vs. Astros Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - September 26

Published: Sep. 26, 2023 at 3:46 PM CDT|Updated: Sep. 26, 2023 at 8:42 PM CDT
Tuesday's game that pits the Seattle Mariners (84-72) against the Houston Astros (86-71) at T-Mobile Park has a good chance to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-3 in favor of the Mariners. Game time is at 10:05 PM ET on September 26.
The Mariners will give the nod to George Kirby (11-10) against the Astros and Cristian Javier (9-4).
Mariners vs. Astros Game Info & Odds
- When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 10:05 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Mariners vs. Astros Score Prediction
Our pick for this game is Mariners 5, Astros 4.
Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Astros
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Explore More About This Game
Mariners Performance Insights
- The Mariners have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Seattle and its opponents are 5-4-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Mariners covered the spread in its most recent opportunity.
- The Mariners have won 60, or 57.7%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Seattle is 55-38 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
- Seattle has scored 736 runs (4.7 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.
- The Mariners have the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.78).
Astros Performance Insights
- Over their last 10 contests, the Astros were named underdogs twice and won each contest.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Houston and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Astros' ATS record is 1-1-0 over their last 10 matchups (oddsmakers set spreads in two of those matchups).
- The Astros have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (63.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Houston has won 16 of 27 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- The offense for Houston is No. 5 in baseball, scoring 5.1 runs per game (806 total runs).
- The Astros have pitched to a 3.99 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.
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Mariners Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 20 | @ Athletics | W 6-3 | George Kirby vs Joey Estes |
September 22 | @ Rangers | L 8-5 | Bryce Miller vs Dane Dunning |
September 23 | @ Rangers | L 2-0 | Logan Gilbert vs Jordan Montgomery |
September 24 | @ Rangers | L 9-8 | Bryan Woo vs Nathan Eovaldi |
September 25 | Astros | L 5-1 | Luis Castillo vs Justin Verlander |
September 26 | Astros | - | George Kirby vs Cristian Javier |
September 27 | Astros | - | Bryce Miller vs Framber Valdez |
September 28 | Rangers | - | Logan Gilbert vs Jordan Montgomery |
September 29 | Rangers | - | Bryan Woo vs Nathan Eovaldi |
September 30 | Rangers | - | Luis Castillo vs TBA |
October 1 | Rangers | - | George Kirby vs Jon Gray |
Astros Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 20 | Orioles | W 2-1 | Cristian Javier vs Kyle Bradish |
September 22 | Royals | L 7-5 | Framber Valdez vs Cole Ragans |
September 23 | Royals | L 3-2 | J.P. France vs Jordan Lyles |
September 24 | Royals | L 6-5 | Hunter Brown vs Steven Cruz |
September 25 | @ Mariners | W 5-1 | Justin Verlander vs Luis Castillo |
September 26 | @ Mariners | - | Cristian Javier vs George Kirby |
September 27 | @ Mariners | - | Framber Valdez vs Bryce Miller |
September 29 | @ Diamondbacks | - | J.P. France vs Zac Gallen |
September 30 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Hunter Brown vs Merrill Kelly |
October 1 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Justin Verlander vs Zach Davies |
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