T.S. Cristobal makes Mexico landfall. A U.S. landfall is forecast by Monday
Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall in Mexico on Wednesday morning. The storm still had max winds of 60 miles per hour according to an 8:35 AM update from the National Hurricane Center.
Most forecast guidance indicates the low pressure center will survive its jaunt over land and reemerge over the Gulf by late Thursday or early Friday.
Later this weekend, Cristobal is predicted to eventually move northward into the central Gulf and the forecast calls for gradual strengthening. The NHC indicates wind shear could be a limiting factor, but still forecasts a strong tropical storm to potentially threaten the Louisiana coast by late Sunday.
The current forecast indicates the potential for tropical-storm-force winds increasing along the Louisiana Gulf Coast by Sunday afternoon.
A U.S. landfall is possible by Monday anywhere as far west as Galveston, Texas and as far east as Mobile, Alabama, according to a Wednesday morning NHC forecast track.
A strong tropical storm making landfall would deliver heavy rains, storm surge, and potentially isolated tornadoes along the Gulf coast. One bit of good news is most guidance keeps Cristobal moving at a decent pace, so hopefully we wouldn’t have widespread excessive rainfall, but we will need to monitor that trend as the forecast becomes clearer and the storm gets nearer to land later in the week.
For now, make sure you have your hurricane plan and kit in place, and follow the 4WARN Storm Team for continuous updates.
The Atlantic Hurricane Season will run until November 30th.
Also worth a note: this weekend's beach trip should be cancelled. The water will be extremely dangerous due to increasing rip currents and rough water conditions. Rip currents are often deadly, especially for out-of-town visitors who aren't aware of their dangerous. If you go to the beach, you should stay on the sand. The water will be too dangerous for swimming. It's not worth the risk to your life no matter how long you have waited for your beach vacation.
Check your hurricane preparedness kit to make certain you have all the supplies you would need to survive without power and water for up to two weeks. Have your NOAA Weather Radio programmed with fully-charged batteries available for it. If you must travel, make sure to check the weather conditions, watches, warnings and advisories before venturing out the door. Review your severe weather plan and know what you should do if a severe storm or tornado is near you. If you don't feel comfortable riding out a storm where you live, make a plan regarding when you should leave your home and where you should go.
Also, download the 4WARN Weather App so, if the power goes out, you still have access to live, streaming coverage of any updates about the weather. Apple users can download the app
. Android users can download the app