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Winter Outlook 2020-2021

Published: Oct. 15, 2020 at 4:48 PM CDT
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DOTHAN, Ala. (WTVY) - NOAA’s winter outlook was released Thursday for the December-February period. Their maps are pretty much in line to what I’m thinking. The southern 2/3 of the country looks warmer than normal overall, with cooler than normal readings across the far North.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple Southern snow systems in this La Niña winter with accompanying cold blasts, even though temperatures overall will likely end up warmer than normal. La Niña winters over the past 10-15 years have brought some wintry precipitation as far south as the Gulf Coast. This isn’t to say we’ll see wintry precipitation in the Wiregrass for sure, but I’m saying there’s a chance!

This type of pattern may also feature multiple “Alberta Clippers” across the northern part of the country, which could enhance snowfall from the Dakotas to the Great Lakes. If you have any travel plans up there in late December, chances for a White Christmas may be a little better than normal this year.

Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Outlook(NOAA)

For Dothan, I’ve taken the time to go through the records to check out temperatures for our recent La Niña winters. Below is the data. -David Paul, Chief Meteorologist

DJF 2017-2018, Moderate La Niña, Coldest Temp 19°

Month Avg. Temp Normal

December 53.0° 51.3°

January 46.4° 48.9° (16 days 32° or below)

February 63.8° 52.0°

DJF 2011-2012, Moderate La Niña, Coldest Temp 24°

Month Avg. Temp Normal

December 54.5° 51.3°

January 54.1° 48.9°

February 56.0° 52.0°

DJF 2010-2011, Strong La Niña, Coldest Temp 20°

Month Avg. Temp Normal

December 43.8° 51.3° (17 days 32° or below)

January 44.6° 48.9°

February 53.5° 52.0°

DJF 2008-2009, Moderate La Niña, Coldest Temp 24°

Month Avg. Temp Normal

December 57.0° 51.3°

January 52.3° 48.9°

February 53.8° 52.0°

DJF 2007-2008, Strong La Niña, Coldest Temp, 21°

Month Avg. Temp Normal

December 54.8° 51.3°

January 48.0° 48.9° (7 days 32° or below)

February 54.4° 52.0°

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