For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A weak surface trough just east of the coast of northeastern Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
This system is expected to move northeastward around 15 mph over the next several days, and strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.