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US Short Term Forecast thru Jul 8

...Heavy rain continues to soak portions of the Southeast, Tennessee and Ohio Valleys...

...Hot weather continues over southern New England...

...Above average temperatures to continue over the West...

The stalled weather pattern over the eastern United States will finally
begin to lift east northeastward over the next several days.

As far as a return to drier conditions, there is a light at the end of the tunnel finally with rains expected to taper off across the soaked Tennessee and Ohio Valleys by late in the weekend.

Before then, however, the persistent moisture plume from the Tropics continues to be drawn northward between a strong upper high east of the Middle Atlantic coast and a trough over the Mississippi Valley.

As of tonight, flash flood and flood watches and some warnings cover a wide area of the Southeast, including Alabama, northern Georgia, eastern Tennessee and central Kentucky, as well as the western
Carolinas. Russellville, Kentucky has reported more than 5 inches of rain in only 4 hours, prompting flash flood warnings.

With a strong upper high parked just off the Middle Atlantic states, a
warm moist tropical flow continues to pump northward across the eastern Carolinas and Virginia into the Middle Atlantic states.

Temperatures are moderately high, near 90 degrees, but skies remain a deeper blue than normal since the air originates over the Atlantic east of the Southeast coast, rather than over the continent, with all its natural and industrial pollutants.

Farther north, the warmest air is found over southern and eastern New England as temperatures will likely to remain in the low to mid 90s for the next couple days. A narrow zone of fair and comfortable
weather can be found along the Mississippi River Valley west of the area of significant rainfall.

Widespread diurnal showers and thunderstorms are continuing to affect portions of the Southwest, Rockies and central and northern Plains. Moisture continues to flow northward around the western periphery of the once formidable upper ridge over the Southwest that was responsible for all the record heat of the past week. That ridge has weakened and the presence of convection has managed to suppress the high temperatures to a degree although triple digit temperatures are still common over interior central and southern California, Nevade and Arizona.

Much cooler conditions has returned to interior northern California and much of the Northwest as a a slow moving cold front makes its way eastward across the Northwest.


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