US Short Term Forecast thru Aug 12

...Localized heavy rain possible in the Tennessee Valley toward the North Carolina coast...

A cold front will continue its trek eastward past New England this morning but will remain stalled from the Mid-Atlantic southwestward into Texas.

A much less humid airmass will settle into the Northeast this weekend with cooler overnight temperatures.

To the south... the stalled boundary will be the focus for mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The TN Valley into North Carolina has the highest probability of heavier rain... though
widespread flash flooding is not expected.

A disturbance moving westward through the Gulf of Mexico may help induce scattered showers along the Gulf Coast from FL to TX before drier air moves into Florida by later today in its wake.

In the west... the upper low moving northward along the Oregon coast will again help ignite afternoon showers and thunderstorms into Washington. This feature should dissipate by early in the work week.

Another area of showers and storms is forecast to persist along a stalled frontal boundary east of the divide.

Limited monsoonal moisture through New Mexico into Colorado will pulse and wane each day as well.

On Sunday an area of organized convection may form over the Northern Plains and move eastward toward MN/IA... with potentially locally heavy rain.

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