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US Short Range Weather to Feb 1

...Unseasonably Warm Temperatures And The Potential For Heavy
Rain...Strong Winds...Severe Storms And Possible Flooding Exist
Ahead Of A Cold Front Currently Moving Through The Central U.S....

...Moderate Snow Tonight For The Upper Midwest Followed By Bitter
Cold Temperatures For The North Central U.S....

A Very Amplified Upper Level Pattern Is In Place Across The Country With An Anomalous Upper Level Ridge Over The Eastern Pacific... Followed A Deep Trough Over The West-Central U.S. And Ridging Over The Southeast.

At The Surface...The Lead Cold Front Extends From The Upper Great Lakes Down Through Central Texas...With Temperatures Ahead Of The Boundary Easily 20 To 30 Degrees Above Typical Late January Values.

Deep Layered Southerly Flow Ahead Of The Upper Trough/Cold Front
Will Continue To Allow Atypically High Values Of Moisture To Stream Northward...Eventually Reaching The Ohio Valley And Northeast As The Entire System Moves East.

Although The Cold Front Will Move Fairly Steadily Toward The East...Heavy Rainfall Rates Will Allow Widespread Heavy Rain And Possible Flooding...Exacerbated Where The Ground Is Still Frozen.

Expect Strong Winds Ahead Of...And With...The Frontal Passage With Gusts Up To 40 Mph With Higher Winds In The Appalachian Mountains.

In Addition To Flooding Concerns...Severe Storms Will Be A Threat
From The Central And Lower Mississippi Valley This Evening...To
The Mid-Atlantic And Southeast On Wednesday.

On The Cold Side Of The Front...A Moderate Snowfall Is Expected To
Impact Locations From The Lower Central Plains Into Wisconsin And
The Upper Great Lakes As An Area Of Low Pressure Tracks
Northeastward.

Behind This Storm System...Northerly Winds Will Usher Bitterly Cold Temperatures Into The Dakotas And Upper Mississippi Valley Where High Temperatures Are Not Expected To Get Above 0 Fahrenheit For The Middle And End Of This Week.

Across The Northeast...Cold Air Will Allow Lake Effect Snow Showers To Develop South And East Of The Lower Lakes With Light Upslope Snow Into The Central Appalachians.

Out West...Northwest Flow Will Favor Moderate To Heavy Mountain
Snow From The Cascades Into The Northern And Central Rockies.

As The Aforementioned Ridge Edges East For Later This Week...This
Activity Over The Western U.S. Should Subside And Temperatures
Will Rise.


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