US Preliminary Extended Forecast thru May 18

Not Much Has Changed In The Past Twenty-Four Hours Of Model Cycles Over The United States At The Medium Range.

The Ecens Mean Continues To Show A Lower Amplitude Pattern In Comparison With The Gefs Mean--And Will Side With The European Centre Once Again Due To Its Track Record At The Longer Ranges.

The Period Will Start Off Decidedly Chilly Over Much Of The Mid Atlantic And Northeast--With Lows In The 20s In Mountainous Terrain. The Midwest Warm-Up Is Still Expected Early In The Forecast--Though Perhaps Not As Dramatic As Previously Indicated.

Finally, The Bulk Of The Rain Is Expected Along The Polar Front Across The Northern Tier Of States, And With The Ejection Of The Southern Stream Trough Up The Mississippi Valley.

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