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US Final Extended Forecast thru Jul 6

...Pattern Overview...

A Highly Amplified And Slow To Progress Mid-Upper Level Flow
Pattern Should Remain Highlighted By Unseasonably Amplified
Troughs Centered Over The Ern Pacific And The East-Central Us And
Unseasonably Amplified Ridges Over The Wrn Us And Wrn Atlantic.

...Guidance Evaluation...

Prefer To Lean More On Pattern Persistence After Consideration Of
Highly Favorable Water Vapor Imagary Across The Pacific And
Lead-In Inertia Of The Current Anomalously Amplified Mid-Upper
Level Flow. This Had Led To Wpc Medium Range Product Suite
Reliance On A Blend Of The 06 Utc Gfs/00 Utc Ecmwf And Ecmwf
Ensemble Mean. This Blend Offers A Solution On The More Amplified /Less Progressive Side Of The Full Envelope Of Solutions
And Follows Latest Model Trends.

...Sensible Weather Highlights...

Expect More Very Hot Temps Over The Wrn Us This Week.

The Central-Srn Rockies Should See Diurnal Convection Thru The Period With Portions Of The Plains Seeing An Increase In Activity By Late Week As Mid-Level Energy Retrogrades Into The Region.

Meanwhile Much Of The Ern-Srn Us Should See Showers/Tstms On A Daily Basis With Locally Heavy Amounts Possible. However...The Strong Wrn Atlantic Ridge Aloft Building Toward The East Coast Should Gradually Push The Axis Of Most Organized Rainfall Westward With Time.


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