US Extended Forecast thru May 31

Srn Stream Slow Closed Low Translation/Modification Across The
S-Central Us And Lower Ms Valley Next Week Should Locally Focus
Heavy Rainfall.

Meanwhile...Cooling And Unsettling Nern Us And West Coast Mid-Upper Level Trough Amplifications Should Sandwich A Warming Central Us Mean Ridge That Builds Around The Srn Stream Closed Low.

Impulses Riding Through The Wrn Us Trough Eject Over The Building Downstream Ridge To Support A Local Convection/Mcs Threat Rolling From The N-Central States Sewd Over The E-Central Us As Moisture/Flow Intercepts A Wavy/Stalled Frontal Zone.

A Guidance Trend Over The Past Day Or So Toward Increased
Amplification Remains Consistent With Recent Blocky Flow History
Highlighted By Closed Systems As Evident Per Recent Water Vapor
Imagery Loops.

Even With Improved Ensemble Mean Compatability...Forecast Predictability Can Only Be Considered Near Average.


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