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US Extended Forecast thru Aug 31

Climatological Summer To Close Hot Over The Central States...

After Nearly An Entire Season Of A Western Ridge And Wet, Eastern
Trough, The Flow Across The United States Appears To Be Settling
Into A New Configuration For The Transition Into Fall.

The Global Numerical Models Continue To Advertise A Massive Subtropical Ridge From The Rockies To The Appalachians, From The Short Range Through The Medium Range And Beyond.

The European Centre Ensemble Mean Has Come The Closest Of The Three Major Modeling Center Means--Gefs And Cmce, Included--To A Proper Sorting Of The Shortwave Energy Dropping Down The Northeast Side Of The Ridge From The Saint Lawrence Valley Into The Northwest Atlantic. Therefore, Weighted Its Most Recent Version Most Heavily Into This Forecast.

Highs In The 90s To Just Above 100 Will Be Common Over Portions Of The Great Plains This Period, With Only Northern North Dakota
Likely To Stay On The Cool Side Of The Polar Front.

The Pacific Northwest, Northeast, And Atlantic Coast States Should Be Closer To Normal, With The Easterly Flow Across The Gulf States Keeping A Cap On The Heat There.

Rainfall Is Expected Around The Periphery Of The High, With
Enhanced Shower Activity Possible Over The Far Southwest Due To An Active Tropical Cyclone Period West Of Mexico.


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