Tropical Outlook PM Jul 7

A Strong Tropical Wave Located About 1150 Miles East-Southeast Of
The Windward Islands Is Moving Westward At 25 Mph. Shower And
Thunderstorm Activity Continues To Show Signs Of Organization...
And Recent Satellite Wind Data Indicate That A Closed Surface
Circulation May Be Forming.

Conditions Are Conducive For Further Development Of This Disturbance...And A Tropical Depression Or A Tropical Storm Could Form At Any Time...Which Would Require A Tropical Storm Watch Or Warning For Portions Of The Lesser Antilles.

This System Has A High Chance...60 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours.

Elsewhere...Tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

Forecaster Stewart


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