Tropical Outlook PM Jul 6

1. A Strong Tropical Wave Is Located Over The Eastern Atlantic About
950 Miles Southwest Of The Cape Verde Islands.

Although The Shower And Thunderstorm Activity Continues To Show Some Signs Of Organization...There Is No Evidence Of A Closed Surface Circulation At This Time.

Conditions Are Expected To Become A Little More Favorable For Development Over The Next Few Days...And This System Has A Medium Chance...30 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours As It Moves Westward At 20 To 25 Mph.

2. Widespread Showers And Thunderstorms Over The Western And Central Gulf Of Mexico Are Associated With A Surface Trough Of Low

The Trough Is Expected To Move Slowly Northward Over The Next Day Or So Toward The Texas And Louisiana Coasts.

Upper-Level Winds Are Not Conducive For Development...And This System Has A Low Chance...10 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours.

Regardless Of Development...This Disturbance Is Forecast To Produce Periods Of Locally Heavy Rainfall Across Portions Of The Northwestern And Northern Gulf Coasts Through Monday.

Elsewhere...Tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

Forecaster Brown

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