Tropical Outlook PM Aug 31

1. A Broad Area Of Low Pressure Associated With A Tropical Wave Is
Over The Eastern Atlantic Between The Cape Verde Islands And The
Coast Of Africa.

While The Associated Cloudiness And Showers Show Some Signs Of Organization... Conditions Have Become Less Favorable For Development...And The Potential For A Tropical Depression To Form Has Diminished.

This System Has A Low Chance... 20 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours...And A Low Chance...20 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 5 Days... As It Moves Generally West-Northwestward Over The Eastern Atlantic.

2. Surface Observations And Dropsonde Data From A Noaa Gulfstream Aircraft Show A Broad Area Of Low Pressure Associated With A Tropical Wave Is Centered About 350 Miles East Of The Lesser
Antilles.

Cloudiness And Showers Associated With This System Remain Disorganized...And There Is No Evidence Of A Well-Defined Surface Wind Circulation. Conditions Are Not Currently Favorable For Development...But Could Become A Little More Conducive For Some Development When The Wave Reaches The Western Caribbean Sea In 4 Or 5 Days.

This System Has A Low Chance...10 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours...And A Low Chance...20 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 5 Days.

Shower Activity And Locally Gusty Winds Associated With This System Are Expected To Spread Over The Lesser Antilles During The Next Day Or Two.


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