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Tropical Outlook AM Sep 28

1. A Small Low Pressure System Located About 850 Miles East-Northeast Of The Northern Leeward Islands Is Producing Winds To Near Gale Force.

However...The Associated Showers And Thunderstorms Remain
Displaced To The Northeast Of The Center Of The Low.

Upper-Level Winds Could Become More Conducive For Development Over The Next Couple Of Days While The Low Moves Northward And Then Northeastward At 10 To 15 Mph...And This System Has A Medium Chance...40 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours.

After That Time...Conditions Appear Marginally Conducive For Development...And The System Has A Medium Chance...50 Percent... Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 5 Days.

Other Systems With Formation Potential Beyond 48 Hours...

A Broad Area Of Low Pressure Is Expected To Form Over The
Southwestern Caribbean Sea During The Next Couple Of Days...And
Conditions Could Be Conducive For Some Development Next Week While The System Moves Toward The Northwestern Caribbean Sea And Southeastern Gulf Of Mexico.

This System Has A Low Chance...Near 0 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours And A Low Chance...20 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 5 Days.


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