Tropical Outlook AM Jun 1

For The North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

Disorganized Showers And Thunderstorms Associated With A Weak Area Of Low Pressure Continue Over The Southwestern Gulf Of Mexico And The Bay Of Campeche. Development...If Any...Should Be Slow To Occur Due To Unfavorable Upper-Level Winds And Proximity To Land. This System Has A Low Chance...10 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours.

Elsewhere...Tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

Today Marks The First Day Of The Atlantic Hurricane Season...Which
Will Run Until November 30. Long-Term Averages For The Number Of
Named Storms...Hurricanes...And Major Hurricanes Are 12...6...And
3...Respectively.

The List Of Names For 2013 Is As Follows:

Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Andrea An- Dree Uh Lorenzo Loh Ren- Zoh
Barry Bair- Ree Melissa Meh Lih- Suh
Chantal Shahn Tahl- Nestor Nes- Tor
Dorian Dor- Ee An Olga Oal- Guh
Erin Air- Rin Pablo Pahb- Lo
Fernand Fair Nahn- Rebekah Reh Beh- Kuh
Gabrielle Ga Bree Ell- Sebastien Suh Bash- Chuhn
Humberto Oom Bair- Toh Tanya Tahn- Yuh
Ingrid Ing- Grid Van Van
Jerry Jehr- Ee Wendy Wen- Dee
Karen Kair- Ren

This Product...The Tropical Weather Outlook...Briefly Describes
Significant Areas Of Disturbed Weather And Their Potential For
Tropical Cyclone Formation During The Next 48 Hours. The Issuance
Times Of This Product Are 2 Am...8 Am...2 Pm...And 8 Pm Edt. After
The Change To Standard Time In November...The Issuance Times Are
1 Am...7 Am...1 Pm...And 7 Pm Est.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook Will Be Issued To Provide
Updates...As Necessary...In Between The Regularly Scheduled
Issuances Of The Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather
Outlooks Will Be Issued Under The Same Wmo And Awips Headers As The Regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A Standard Package Of Products...Consisting Of The Tropical Cyclone
Public Advisory...The Forecast/Advisory...The Cyclone Discussion...
And The Wind Speed Probability Product...Is Issued Every Six Hours
For All Ongoing Tropical Cyclones. In Addition...A Special Advisory
Package May Be Issued At Any Time To Advise Of Significant
Unexpected Changes Or To Modify Watches Or Warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update Is A Brief Statement To Inform Of
Significant Changes In A Tropical Cyclone Or To Post Or Cancel
Watches Or Warnings. The Tropical Cyclone Update Can Also Be Used In Lieu Of Or To Precede The Issuance Of A Special Advisory
Package. The Tropical Cyclone Update Is Also Issued To Provide A
Continuous Flow Of Information Regarding The Center Location Of A
Tropical Cyclone When Watches Or Warnings Are In Effect And The
Center Can Be Easily Tracked With Land-Based Radar.

All National Hurricane Center Text And Graphical Products Are
Available On The Web At Www.Hurricanes.Gov. You Can Also Interact
With Us On Facebook At Www.Facebook.Com/Us.Noaa.Nationalhurricanecenter.Gov. Notifications Are Available Via Twitter When Select National Hurricane Center Products Are Issued. Information About Our Atlantic Twitter Feed Is Available At Www.Hurricanes.Gov/Twitter.Shtml ...In All Lower Case.

Forecaster Avila


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