Tropical Outlook AM Aug 17

The National Hurricane Center Is Issuing Advisories On Tropical
Storm Erin...Located West-Northwest Of The Cape Verde Islands.

An Area Of Low Pressure Is Located Over The Southwestern Gulf Of
Mexico About 150 Miles West-Northwest Of Campeche Mexico.

This System Remains Poorly Organized With The Associated Shower And Thunderstorm Activity Located Well To The North And Northeast Of The Low Center.

Conditions Could Become Somewhat More Favorable For Development While The Low Generally Moves Toward The
West-Northwest Or Northwest (toward the The Texas coast) Over The Next Couple Of Days.

Interests In The Central And Western Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor The Progress Of The System Through Early Next Week.

This System Has A Medium Chance...40 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 48 Hours...And A Medium Chance...50 Percent...Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone During The Next 5 Days.


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