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Tropical Depression Erin Is No More

Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Advisory Number 16
Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
500 Pm Ast Sun Aug 18 2013

...Erin Degenerates Into A Remnant Low...
...This Is The Last Advisory...

Summary Of 500 Pm Ast...2100 Utc...Information
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Location...20.4n 39.8w
About 1080 Mi...1740 Km Wnw Of The Cape Verde Islands
Maximum Sustained Winds...35 Mph...55 Km/H
Present Movement...W Or 260 Degrees At 8 Mph...13 Km/H
Minimum Central Pressure...1009 Mb...29.80 Inches

Watches And Warnings
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There Are No Coastal Watches Or Warnings In Effect.

Discussion And 48-Hour Outlook
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Satellite Images Indicate That Erin Has Become A Remnant Low.

At 500 Pm Ast...2100 Utc...The Center Of Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin
Was Located Near Latitude 20.4 North...Longitude 39.8 West.

The Post-Tropical Cyclone Is Moving Toward The West Near 8 Mph...13 Km/H....And A West To Slightly South Of West Motion Is Expected Over The Next Couple Of Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph...55 Km/H...With Higher
Gusts. Some Weakening Is Forecast During The Next 48 Hours.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1009 Mb...29.80 Inches.

Hazards Affecting Land
None.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Discussion Number 16
Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
500 Pm Ast Sun Aug 18 2013

Erin Has Lacked Deep Convection Within 120 N Mi Of Its Center For
Over 12 Hours...And No Longer Qualifies As A Tropical Cyclone.

Therefore...Advisories Are Being Discontinued At This Time.

The Ships/Lgem Guidance Indicates Very Dry Low- To Mid-Tropospheric Air In The Path Of The Remnant Low Which Should Discourage Attempts At Regeneration.

The Low Has Been Moving Slightly South Of West...Or 260/7...Within
The Tradewind Flow. This General Motion Is Expected To Continue
Until The Cyclone Loses Its Identity In A Few Days. The Official
Track Forecast Is A Little South Of The Previous One And Near The
Northern Side Of The Dynamical Guidance Suite.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

Init 18/2100z 20.4n 39.8w 30 Kt 35 Mph
12h 19/0600z 20.2n 41.3w 25 Kt 30 Mph...Post-Trop/Remnt Low
24h 19/1800z 20.0n 43.2w 25 Kt 30 Mph...Post-Trop/Remnt Low
36h 20/0600z 19.7n 45.2w 25 Kt 30 Mph...Post-Trop/Remnt Low
48h 20/1800z 19.4n 47.2w 25 Kt 30 Mph...Post-Trop/Remnt Low
72h 21/1800z...Dissipated

Forecaster Pasch


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