Short Term Update

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday]...
Strong shortwave over Arizona at the beginning of the period drops
southeastward through the base of the upper trough closing off a low
over west Texas Wednesday morning. This feature continues to
intensify as it moves into central Texas by 00z Thu. This will be
the kicker that will finally send the stalled front through
our CWA and end our very unusual January warm spell. However, for
most of the Tri-state region, that will have to wait until either
Wednesday or beyond this short term period. In the meantime, for
Tuesday the quasi-stationary front will remain west of our CWA as a
weak wave translates along it from the north central Gulf into
northeast Georgia by evening. PoPs will be distributed from slight
to low end chance west of a Tifton, GA to Mexico Beach, FL line with
silent 10 percent/nil PoPs east of there. Temps Tuesday will be
well above seasonal levels in the upper 70s to around 80 all inland
zones except lower to mid 70s extreme west. The front enters or CWA
Wednesday and PoPs increase to chance for all zones. Temps will be
noticeably cooler for all but the Florida Big Bend and the region
in and around Valdosta.


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