Severe Weather Threat Mar 19-23

At The Start Of The Extended Period...A Lingering Low Severe Threat
May Materialize Along The Carolina Coast Early Tuesday Before A Cold Front Moves Offshore Into The Wrn Atlantic.

In Wake Of The Cold Front...Medium Range Models Are In Good Agreement In Showing Extensive Surface High Pressure Over Much Of The Area E Of The Rockies Through Mid Week.

A Progressive Mid-Level Flow Regime Will Seemingly Continue Into The Late Work Week Timeframe.

Medium Range Models Allude To At Least Some Possibility Of A Front --Initially Pushed Into The Cntrl Gulf Of Mexico-- Advancing Nwd Into The Nrn Gulf Coast States.

The Placement Of This Boundary Should Effectively Inhibit A Substantial Poleward Advance Of Modified Moisture Beyond The Nrn Gulf Coast States From The Gulf Basin.

Although Some Potential For Intense Thunderstorm Activity May Be
Realized Late In The Extended Period From Tx Ewd To Fl...The
Perceived Magnitude Of The Threat And Model Predictability Concerns
Preclude An Areal Delineation.

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