Severe Weather Threat Jun 5-9

Latest Medium Range Numerical Guidance Continues To Indicate That The Main Belt Of Westerlies Will Be Confined To The Northern Half Of The Conus Into Canada During The Period...Although More
Consequential Pattern Amplification May Begin To Occur By The
Weekend.

While At Least Some/Periodic Severe Potential Will Likely Exist Through The Mid/Late Part Of The Week...30 Percent Equivalent
Severe Probabilities Are Not Currently Warranted For Any Particular
Day.

On Day 4/Wednesday...
In Concert With A Southeastward Moving Front...At Least An Isolated Severe Risk May Exist Across Parts Of The Southern Plains /Including Ok And North Tx/ And Potentially Parts Of The Ozarks/Arklatex...While Additional Strong/Severe Tstms May Occur Within A Low-Level Upslope Regime Across The South-Central High Plains Including Parts Of Nm/Co.

Day 5/Thursday...
While Westerlies Will Be Weak Aloft...Some Severe Threat May Develop Southeastward In Association With The Advancing Front Into Parts Of The Tn Valley/Gulf Coast States...Westward Across Parts Of Tx And Into The Southern High Plains Amid Persistent Upslope Flow.


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