Severe Weather Threat Jan 22-26

Discussion...

Models Are In Good Agreement With Keeping A Large Mean Trough Across The Ern Conus With Upper Vortex Centered Over Quebec Through Tue/D4-Wed/D5...Resulting In A Lack Of Instability For Storms.

By Thu/D6...Models Show A Strong Shortwave Trough Developing Sewd Across The Rockies And Into The Plains...But Timing Is In Question. Swly Flow Ahead Of This Trough Will Bring Low Level Moisture Newd Across The Wrn Gulf Of Mexico And Lower Ms Valley...But Forecast Soundings Indicate Only Weak Instability With Relatively Warm Temperatures Aloft.

Therefore...No Severe Weather Is Expected...Although Isolated Thunderstorms Could Occur In This Region D6-D7.


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