Severe Weather Threat Feb 6-10

High Confidence Continues With Regard To An Amplified Upper-Level
Trough Developing Into The West By Late Week.

Overall...It Appears Guidance Has Trended To A Slower Ewd Progression Compared To Recent Runs.

What Is More Problematic Is The Low Confidence Over The Evolution Of Individual Short Wave Troughs That Will Eventually Emanate Across The Plains.

With Increasing Gulf Moisture Expected To Spread Farther Inland In The S-Cntrl Conus Next Weekend...Some Risk For Severe Tstms Is Evident In The D7-8 Time Frame...But Predictability Is Too Low For Severe Probabilities Aoa 30 Percent Attm.

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