Severe Weather Threat Feb 26-Mar 2

Day 4 /Tuesday/...
Model Consensus Is That Potent Shortwave Trough Will Eject Negatively Tilted Through Remainder Of The Tn Valley Into The Mid Atlantic.

Attendant Occluded Cyclone Will Lift Into The Oh Valley...While Secondary Weaker Low Will Move From Ga Through The Ern Carolinas.

A Cold Front Trailing From This Low Will Advance Through The Remainder Of The Sern States...While A Warm Front Lifts Nwd Through The Ern Carolinas.

Poor Lapse Rates And Widespread Ongoing Convection Along Conveyor Belt Will Limit Instability In Small Pre-Frontal Warm Sector. Nevertheless This Activity May Be Only Slightly Elevated And Embedded Within An Environment Characterized By Strong Vertical Shear.

Some Threat May Exist For Damaging Wind And Perhaps A Tornado Or Two Mainly From Nrn Fl...Sern Ga Into Coastal Sc Early Tuesday. Likelihood Of A Marginal Thermodynamic Environment Precludes Delineating A Higher Coverage Threat Area At This Time.

Beyond Day 4...
A Large Upper Trough Will Evolve Over The Ern Half Of The Country Accompanied By Offshore Flow And Low Severe Potential Inland.

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