Severe Weather Threat Day Feb 5-9

Model Guidance Remains Rather Consistent On The Large Scale In
Depicting The Transition Of A Persistent Upper-Level Ridge In The
West To An Amplified Trough By Late Week.

Until That Time...Low-Level Gulf Of Mexico Moisture Return Is Anticipated To Be Limited /Both Spatially And In Amplitude/...Rendering Negligible
Severe Potential.

By Next Weekend...Richer Gulf Moisture Moisture Should Spread Inland And Would Likely Yield Increasing /Albeit From Nil/ Severe Probabilities In Parts Of The S-Cntrl Conus.

However By This Time Frame /D8/...Confidence Is Low On The Evolution Of Individual Short Wave Troughs.

This Renders Low Predictability For Severe Probabilities Aoa 30 Percent Attm.

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