Severe Weather Threat Day 3 Wed Jan 30

Continued Ewd Progression Of A Large Central/Ern Noam Trough Is
Forecast This Period...Though Reinforcement Of The Trough On Its Wrn Fringe Suggests A Broad Area Of Cyclonic Flow Should Cover Most Of The U.S. By The End Of The Period.

At The Surface...A Cold Front Initially Extending From Roughly Lower
Mi Swd To The Central Gulf Coast Region Is Forecast To Make Steady
Ewd Progress...Moving Off The Middle Atlantic Coast During The
Evening And Then Vacating The Entire Ern Seaboard Overnight.

Prior To Moving Offshore...This Front Will Continue To Focus
Convection...And Potential For Damaging Winds Across Portions Of The Central And Ern Conus.

Central Gulf Coast/Mid South Region Ewd To The Atlantic Coast...

Showers And Thunderstorms Should Be Ongoing To Start The Period
Near/Ahead Of The Advancing Cold Front...From The Midwest Swd To The Mouth Of The Ms River. This Band Of Convection Will March Steadily Ewd Along With The Corresponding Cold Front...But Very Modest Instability -- Particularly From The Mid South/Carolinas Nwd --
Should Act To Hinder Overall Severe Potential.

Having Said That...Very Strong Flow Aloft Will Exist...Which Will Favor Locally Gusty/Damaging Winds Even In Areas With Little Cape -- And Perhaps No Lightning.

Attm...Greatest Potential For Damaging Winds Appears To Exist From
Ern Ky/Ern Tn Swd Into Ms/Ern La/Al/The Fl Panhandle And Into Ga And The Carolinas...Where An Isolated Tornado Or Two Could Also Occur.

The Threat Should Remain Generally W Of The Appalachians Through Early Afternoon...Spreading Ewd Across The Atlantic Coast States Through The Afternoon And Into The Evening Before Storms Move Offshore.


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