Severe Weather Threat Day 3 Tue Mar 12

Ern Nc...

An Upper-Level Trough Over The Oh And Tn Valleys Is Forecast To Move Into The Cntrl Appalachian Mtns On Tuesday As A Cold Front Advances Ewd Onto The Atlantic Coastal Plains.

Strong Large-Scale Ascent Will Exist Across The Carolinas Tuesday Morning Where Thunderstorm Activity Could Be Ongoing At The Beginning Of The Period. Forecast Soundings Ahead Of The Front In Ern Nc At 15z Show Sfc Dewpoints Near 60 F...0-6 Km Shear Around 60 Kt And 0-1 Km Shear Exceeding 35 Kt. This Environment Could Support Rotating Storms Before 18z When Low-Level Shear Is Forecast To Be Most Favorable.

Due To The Strong Low-Level Shear...A Marginal Tornado Threat Can Not Be Ruled Out Before The Convection Moves Offshore During The Afternoon. For This Reason...Will Introduce A Low-End Severe Probability Area In Ern Nc.


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