Severe Weather Threat Day 3 Tue Feb 26

Shortwave Trough Will Eject Negatively Tilted Through Remainder Of
Tn Valley Into The Oh Valley And Mid Atlantic Tuesday. Attendant
Occluded Sfc Low Will Develop Nwd Through The Oh Valley...While
Secondary Weaker Low Within Cyclonic Upper Jet Exit Region Moves
From Ga Through The Ern Carolinas. Cold Front Extending Swd From
This Low Will Advance From Al To The Atlantic Seaboard Tuesday
Night.

Sern Ga...Nrn Fl Through The Ern Carolinas...

Near Sfc Based Thunderstorms Should Be In Progress Along The Warm Conveyor Belt From Cntrl/Srn Ga Swd Into Cntrl/Ern Fl Panhandle.

Activity Will Be Embedded Within Strong Vertical Shear And Large
Hodographs...But A Marginal Thermodynamic Environment Posing A
Modest Ongoing Threat For Isolated Damaging Wind And Perhaps A
Tornado Or Two.

Widespread Rain And Elevated Convection Will Be In Progress North Of Warm Front Across The Carolinas Where Wedge Of Cooler Air Associated With Swrn Extension Of Cp High Pressure Will Prevail.

This Wedge Of Cool Air May Slowly And Gradually Erode From The South...But Should Limit Nwd Extent Of Warm Sector Development And Limit Severe Potential.

Storms Will Continue Along Conveyor Belt Through Ga...Nrn Fl Into
The Ern Carolinas During The Day. Effective Shear And Hodographs
Will Support Potential For Embedded Organized Structures With An
Attendant Threat For Damaging Wind And Possibly A Tornado Or Two.

Threat Appears More Conditional With Nwd Extent Into Nc Where
Destabilization Potential Appears More Limited Due To Widespread
Antecedent Rain And Presence Of Wedge Front.


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