Severe Weather Threat Day 2 Sun Mar 10

Lower Ms Valley...

An Upper-Level Low Over The Cntrl Plains Is Forecast To Move Newd
Into The Upper Ms Valley On Sunday As An 80 To 100 Kt Mid-Level Jet
Moves Newd Across The Mid Ms Valley.

At The Sfc...A Center Of Low Pressure Is Forecast To Move Into The Lower Oh Valley As A Cold Front Advances Sewd Across The Lower Ms Valley. Convection May Be Ongoing Sunday Morning Near And Just To The South Of The Sfc Low On The Wrn Edge Of The Low-Level Jet.

As Sfc Heating Takes Place And Low-Level Convergence Increases Along The Front...New Convection May Initiate Further South From Wrn Ms Swwd Into Ern La Where Sfc Dewpoints Should Be In The Lower 60s F. Nam Forecast Soundings Along This Portion Of The Front At 21z Show About 750 J/Kg Of Sbcape And 50 To 55 Kt Of Deep Layer Shear. This May Be Enough For An Isolated Wind Damage Threat If A Persistent Line Segment Can Develop As Is Suggested By The More Aggressive Gfs Model.


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