Severe Weather Threat Day 2 Sun Jan 6

Fl Peninsula...

The Prospect For Deep Convection Capable Of Producing Lightning Will Be Harshly Limited During The Day2 Period As Meaningful Instability Will Be Confined To Near Coastal Waters Off The Fl Peninsula.

Latest Model Guidance Does However Suggest Diurnal Heating Will
Contribute To Steepening Low Level Lapse Rates Across The Cntrl
Peninsula Sunday And This May Prove Adequate For Feeble Convection Along A Weakly Convergent Boundary That Will Sag South Across The Region. Forecast Soundings Suggest Sbcape Could Approach 300-500 J/Kg As Sfc Temperatures Warm Into The Mid 70s...Thus Will Maintain Low Probabilities For Isolated Tstms Primarily Due To Daytime Heating.

Even So...Greater Concentration Of Convection Should Be Confined To Offshore Regions Where Buoyancy Will Be Somewhat More Conducive For Updrafts Penetrating Levels Necessary For Lightning
Discharge.


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