Severe Weather Threat Day 2 Mon Apr 1

Srn Plains...

An Upper-Level Low Will Move Ewd Across The Intermountain West On Monday As A Shortwave Upper-Level Ridge Remains In Place Across The Srn Plains. At The Sfc...A Low Is Forecast To Deepen Across Ern Nm As A Cold Front Advances Swd Into Ne Nm And The Tx Panhandle. South Of The Front On The Caprock Of West Tx...Sfc Dewpoints Are Forecast To Be In The 40s F With Lower To Mid 50s F Present Ewd Across The Low Rolling Plains. This Should Allow For Moderate Destabilization By Monday Afternoon From Lubbock And Midland Ewd. In The Presence Of Weak Large-Scale Forcing.. Isolated Thunderstorm Initiation May Take Place Late Monday Afternoon Along The Front In The Srn Tx Panhandle Or Swd Along A Sfc Trough In The Lubbock And Midland Areas. Forecast Soundings At Lubbock And Midland At 00z/Tue Show Large Temp-Dewpoint
Spreads With Lcl Heights Around 2500 Meters Which Should Make The Convection High-Based. In Spite Of This Factor...0-6 Km Shear In The 40 To 50 Kt Range And Steep Lapse Rates Could Be Enough For An Isolated Severe Threat With Hail Possible In The Stronger Cores. The Severe Threat Could Increase If Convection Can Persist Into The Early Evening And Reach The Low-Rolling Plains Where Low-Level Moisture Is Forecast To Be Greater.

Nrn Fl/Srn Ga/Far Srn Sc...

An Upper-Level Trough Will Move Ewd Across The Ern Gulf Coast States Monday As A Cold Front Advances Sewd Across The Region.
Thunderstorms Could Be Ongoing Along Or Ahead Of The Front During The Morning With This Activity Moving Sewd Into Nrn Fl Around
Midday. Model Forecasts Show A Corridor Of Low-Level Moisture
Extending Newd From Nrn Fl Into Se Ga Where Sfc Dewpoints Could Be Around 60 F. This Along With Sfc Heating Should Allow For Weak
Destabilization. As Cells Intensify Early Monday Afternoon...The
Unidirectional Wind Profiles And Steep Low-Level Lapse Rates Could
Be Enough For A Marginal Wind Damage Threat.


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