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Severe Weather Threat Day 1 Sun Mar 17

Arklatex Region Newd Into The Mid Ms/Lower Oh Valley Area...

As Thunderstorms Ongoing Across Nwrn Tx Continue To Diminish Over The Next 1-2 Hours...The Main Area Of Convective/Severe Potential Will Become Focused Within The Risk Area Extending From Nern Tx Newd To The Lower Oh Valley Region.

Storms Are Ongoing Attm Across Srn Mo/Srn Il And Vicinity...Within A
Zone Of Warm Advection/Isentropic Lift Atop The Surface Front
Currently Lying Over Srn Ar. As The Disturbance Aloft Over The Tx
Panhandle Area Continues Translating Ewd...Increasing Qg Ascent
Should Support An Expansion Of Convective Coverage Over The Next Few Hours As The Front Lifts Slowly N Across The Mid Ms Valley Area.

While Most Storms Should Remain To The Cool Side Of The Front --
Thus Posing Mostly A Hail Threat...Some Potential For Surface-Based
Or Near Surface-Based Convection Invof The Frontal Zone Exists.
Here...Locally Damaging Winds And An Isolated Tornado Would Then
Become Possible. Given This Limited/Isolated Surface-Based Threat ...Will Maintain The Ongoing Slight Risk Forecast.


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