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Severe Weather Threat Day 1 Sun Apr 28

Southeast...

Added A Small Slight Risk To A Part Of Cntrl Ga Where A Couple Of
Supercells Have Occurred In The Past Hour Along A Quasi-Stationary
Front.

A Pocket Of Stronger Surface Heating Just S Of This Activity Has Locally Boosted Instability. In Conjunction With Moderately Enlarged Hodographs /Per Atlanta Vad Wind Profile/...Setup May Support A Few Additional Supercells Into Early Evening With Primary Risk Of Isolated Severe Hail. Elsewhere...Marginal Threats For Hail/Wind Continue.

Tx Rio Grande Valley...

Stabilization In The Wake Of A Mature Mcs That Has Just Exited The
Deep S Tx Coast Will Likely Confine Any Severe Potential Farther
Upstream Along The Rio Grande Where Surface Heating Has Been More Pronounced. High-Based Convection Over Parts Of The Trans-Pecos And Mtns In Coahuila May Deepen With Marginal Threats For Wind/Hail Despite Gradual Weakening Of Modest Mid-Level Wlys.

Cntrl/Upper Oh Valley...

Scattered Showers Near The Juxtaposition Of Ind/Oh/Ky May Develop
Into Tstms During The Next Couple Of Hours. Surface Temperatures
Have Struggled To Warm Through The 60s...Limited By Abundant
Stratocu And Deep Cirrus Canopy Overspreading From The Tn
Valley/Southeast Convection. Although Small Hail Will Remain
Possible...Setup No Longer Appears To Warrant Severe Probabilities.

Parts Of The Upper Midwest...

Early Afternoon Surface Dew Points In Asos Metar Data Across Ern
Neb/Sern Sd/Wrn Ia/Srn Mn Have Consistently Remained 4-8 Deg F Lower Than Forecast By Consensus Of Morning Model Guidance. Available Buoyancy Here Will Likely Remain Quite Limited...But Isolated High-Based Convection May Form Along The Cold Front This Evening With Some Small Hail/Gusty Winds.


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