Severe Weather Threat Day 1 Mon Jan 14

Ern Tx Eastward Into Ms/Al...

The Only Adjustments To Previous Outlook Were To Remove Thunder
Probs From Ern Tx And Far Sw La Based On Convective Trends. Low
Thunder Probabilities Will Continue Through The Afternoon And Into
The Overnight Hours From Srn La Into W-Cntrl Al.

Prev Discussion...

At The Surface...A Stalled Front Will Remain From The Srn Appalachians Swwd To Near The Mouth Of The Ms River And Into The Wrn Gulf Of Mexico.

A Waa Regime...Featuring A Belt Of 30+ Kt H85 Sswly Moist Flow... Atop A Shallow Cool Air Mass Will Support Isold Elevated Storms Primarily Through The Afternoon Hours...With A Lingering Low Chance Of Storms Into The Overnight. Poor Lapse Rates/Weak Buoyancy With These Elevated Storms Will Preclude Low Severe Storm Probabilities.


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