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Severe Weather Threat Aug 27-31

Latest Medium Range Guidance Is In Fairly Good Agreement Regarding
The Evolution Of Large Scale Upper Anti Cyclone Drifting West Across
The Cntrl Plains.

As This Occurs Several Embedded Short-Wave Troughs Will Top The Ridge Across The Nrn Plains/Upper Ms Valley Before Turning Sewd Toward The Oh Valley. These Transitory Short-Waves Could Easily Instigate Diurnally Enhanced Convective Events That May Evolve Into Organized Clusters Capable Of Producing Severe Wind/Hail.

While The Large Scale Pattern Increasingly Favors A Corridor Of Potential Severe From Portions Of The Upper Ms Valley Into The Oh Valley...Timing Of Short-Waves Necessary For These Events Remain Too Unpredictable To Warrant 30 Percent Severe At This Time.


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