Severe Weather Threat Aug 26-30

Strong Upper Anti Cyclone Will Dominate Much Of The Conus Through The Medium Range Period.

Given The Strength Of This Feature It Appears More Meaningful Short-Waves Should Traverse The Srn Provinces Of Canada Before Digging Into The Nern U.S.

With Time Moisture/Instability Should Advect Across The Great Lakes Into The Back Side Of Aforementioned Mean Troughing Over Sern Canada/Nern U.S.

Individual Short-Waves And Their Timing Will Prove Instrumental In Potential Organized Severe Thunderstorms. Given Model Discrepancies Predictability Is Too Low To Warrant 30 Percent Severe Probs This Period.

Even So It Appears Sufficient Amplification Will Exist For Sewd-Moving Tstms That Could Ultimately Produce Severe...Especially From Portions Of The Upper Ms Valley Into Portions Of The Oh Valley.


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