Severe Weather Threat Apr 24-28

Amplified/Broadly Cyclonic Upper Pattern Through Early/Mid Week Will
Become Increasingly Zonal Through The Last Half Of The Week.

Guidance Variability Initially Exists Regarding A Southern Stream
Cut-Off Low /Emanating From The Eastern Pacific And Baja Vicinity/ ...With Overall Specific Predictability Otherwise Considerably Decreasing Through Days 6-8 Within The Aforementioned Zonal Regime.

On Day 4/Wednesday...Tstms/Some Possibly Severe May Continue Into The Gulf Coast Region/Southeast States Along The Advancing Cold Front...Potentially Including Portions Of Ms/Al/Ga.

While Some Severe May Be Possible...A Widespread Severe Episode /30 Percent Equivalent/ Is Not Currently Expected Given That The Region Will Generally Be Removed From The Stronger Westerlies Aloft...And Overall Destabilization Could Also Be Marginal.

While Details Are Uncertain...Especially Regarding The Southern
Stream System/S Potential Eastward Advancement Toward The
Plains...At Least Some Severe Potential Could Return To The
South-Central Conus...Including Southern Plains To Arklatex/Lower Ms Valley...By Around Days 6/7 Friday And Saturday.

An Extensive Frontal Penetration Across The Gulf Of Mexico Does Not Appear Likely Mid-Week...And Thus Moisture Should Steadily Return Northward Across The South-Central Conus Through Days 6-8 Given The Expected Overall Pattern.


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