Severe Weather Threat Apr 12-16

Carolinas Into The Lower Mid-Atlantic On D4...

Some Damaging Wind/Tornado Potential Is Evident Early In The Period Prior To A Cold Front Moving Off The Ern Seaboard. Although
Low/Mid-Level Flow Fields Should Be Intense...Continued Timing
Differences Exist In Models With The Speed Of Frontal Passage. Along With The Potential For Abundant Preceding Convection...Low
Confidence Exists In The Degree Of Instability...Rendering Severe
Probabilities Below 30 Percent.

Otherwise...After A Few Days Of Negligible Severe Potential... Low-Level Gulf Moisture Should Return By Early Next Week In The S-Cntrl Conus As Average Confidence Exists In The Development
Of A Wrn Upper-Level Trough.

This Should Yield Some Increase In Severe Potential At The End To Just Beyond The Period Along An Evolving Cold Front.


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