NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
The upper level pattern currently shows a highly amplified long wave
trough with axis extending from Minnesota through extreme west Texas
and persistent deep layer ridging just off the Atlantic seaboard. A
long fetch of very moist southwest flow continued to extend from the
western Gulf into the mid-Atlantic states. At the surface, the
quasi-stationary front extended from northeast Georgia southwest to
near to Mobile and then southwest into the Gulf. Strong shortwave
energy rounding the base of the upper trough will move into northern
Texas overnight with a low closing off over the Red River Valley.
This will begin to kick the front east and move into our SE Alabama
and Florida Panhandle zones by daybreak. Will show chance PoPs along
and west of a line from near Albany to Panama City and slight chance
to nil elsewhere. Min temps will still be quite warm ranging from
the mid 50s southeast Big Bend to upper 50s to lower 60s elsewhere.
Fog should once again develop overnight but will not go as extensive
as guidance suggests.
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