Near Term Update

Posted: Tue 4:50 PM, Dec 11, 2012

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
It appears that our Local 4km WRF runs were practically right on
the money with the fairly quick start to the isentropic lift. As
of early this aftn, while the Radar appears very active, most of
the "rain" is falling as Virga or is still light enough to not
accumulate. This is very typical during the beginning stages of
isentropic lift. By tonight, however, this rain will gradually
become a bit heavier and should reach the ground in most areas,
so the greatest adjustment from the previous package was to raise
PoPs upward for tonight, with the higher bump from 00 to 06 UTC.