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Long Term Update

LONG TERM [Sunday through Thursday]...
The latest GFS and ECMWF forecast the strong deep layer ridge
(currently building over the eastern CONUS) to translate very slowly
east into the western Atlantic ahead of an approaching cold front.
This front is expected to weaken (in terms of QPF and cold air
advection) by the time it passes slowly through our forecast area
Wednesday and Thursday. The PoP will range from 10 to 30% (lowest at
Cross City, highest at Dothan), except around 30% nearly everywhere
late Wednesday. Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above average.
A return to more "seasonal" temperatures is likely by next Thursday
as the front limps through.


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