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Long Term Update

LONG TERM [Saturday through Tuesday]...

There is good agreement between the GFS and ECMWF that deep layer
ridging will be the dominant synoptic feature over the Southeast.
This correlates to a continuation of above-average temperatures (at
least 10 to 15 degrees warmer than climatology) away from the
beaches (where SSTs remain in the upper 50s to lower 60s). The PoP
will be in the 10 to 30% range- highest along and left of a line
from Albany to Panama City as that region will be closer to the Q-G
forcing and deep layer moisture associated with a persistent
quasi-stationary frontal system.


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