The Large Scale Longwave Pattern Of The Early Work Week Will Immediately Trend To A More Progressive And Deamplified Pattern By Thursday.

The Nrn Stream Is Marked By A Trough Over Plains And A Positively Tilted Trough From Canadian Maritimes Swwd Thru Oh Valley. The Srn Stream Is Highlighted By A Cutoff Low Over Baja. As Has Been Persistent This Winter, The Euro Is The Least Amplified Of The Models.

At The Surface, Low Off Mid-Atlc With Dissipating Cold Front Wsw Across Cntrl Al/Ga. Weak Overrunning Rain Possible Across Mainly Ga/Big Bend Counties Into Sat. By Sun, Front No Longer Exits Replaced By Atlc Ridging Swwd Across Ne Gulf Region.

Looking South, Baja Trough Gradually Crosses Nrn Mex Thurs And Fri, Several H5 Impulses Eject Out Of Assocd Cutoff Low And Help Develop A Surface Wave Over Wrn Gulf Early In The Period. This May Bring Waa And Rain To Mainly Fl And Adjacent Waters Into Fri.

Models Begin To Diverge Further During The Weekend As Wet Outlier
Gfs Opens Up Low And Phases It With Above Trough Moving Ewd Thru Plains. Conversely, Less Bullish Euro Holds Low Back And Weakens It Bringing A Strong High Pressure System With A Noticeably Cooler And Drier Air Mass From The Plains On Friday To The Ms River Then Ewd Thru Sun. Both Models Dry Sun Into Tues. Given Model Divergence, Forecast Temps/Pops Will Blend Gfs/Euro
Especially For End Of Period However Confidence Especially For End
Of Period Not High.

Will Go Mainly 20-30% Nw-Se Pop Gradient Wed Night Thru Fri Aftn,
Otherwise Nil Pops.

Min Temps Will Begin Several Degrees Above Climo On Wed Night Dropping To Around Climo Thurs And Fri Nights And Several Degrees Below Climo Sat And Sun Nights. Max Temps Commence Around Climo Thurs And Fri, Drop To Several Degrees Below Sat And Sun Before Rising To Around Climo On Mon. (Avg Inland Min/Max Climo Is 40/65).