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Posted: 8:11 AM Feb 3, 2012
Dothan Area Long Term Weather Feb 3
National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl
530 Am Est Fri Feb 3 2012
Long Term...(Monday Through Next Friday)
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The Work Week Begins With Light Northerly Flow And Dry Weather With An Area Of High Pressure Centered North Of The Area Behind The Remnants Of A Weak Front.
The Models Are Still Very Divergent Towards The End Of The Week With The 00z Gfs Holding On To A Much Wetter Scenario With An Active Subtropical Moisture Connection And A Gulf Low.
The Euro Has More Northern Stream Influence And A Much More Suppressed Solution.
The Main Difference Is The Handling Of The Upper Level Low That Dives Southward Off The Coast Of California By Mid Week.
The Gfs Is More Progressive With This System And Takes It Into Mexico By Friday With A Strong Subtropical Moisture Feed Connection Ahead Of It.
Meanwhile, The Euro Cuts Off The Low West Of The Baja Where It Just Sits And Eventually Weakens Considerably.
The Gfs Scenario Would Bring Us A Widespread 1-2 Inch Rainfall At The End Of The Week, And The Euro Would Bring Us Very Little Or Nothing.
The Majority Of The Gfs Ensemble Members Support The Gfs, But The Longer Range Ggem And Ukmet Do Not Look Very Supportive.
Confidence Remains Low On What Will Happen At The End Of Next Week.
The Early Medium Range Thoughts From The Hpc Prefer A Blend Of The Euro And The Euro Ensembles With This Scenario With The Gfs And Its Ensembles Straying Away From The Multi-Model Consensus.
Temperatures Look To Remain Near To Above Normal Through Much Of The Week.
| WTVY Detailed Forecast |
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For more in-depth and "behind-the-scenes" weather information, Click Here... Wednesday Lots of sun along with plenty of heat. Highs near 92. Along the Coast & Over the Gulf Waters Water temperature 81... Always check surf and rip current status before entering the Gulf |
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