NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
As of 19z, the KTLH radar was still in clear mode. While this may not last through the remainder of the afternoon, we do not expect much activity as drier air has overspread the region. Along with the drier air and mostly clear skies overnight, we should see min temps drop into the mid to upper 60s inland areas with lower 70s along the coast.
SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday Night]...
The 500 mb ridge over the Plains will build Eastward through the
period. Meanwhile, a surface ridge of high pressure will dip south
in the wake of a weak cold front passage this morning. This will
mean drier air will move into the area and remain in place through
There is a slight chance of rain on Monday as the tail end of another weak cold front will skirt across the northern part of our forecast area.
Highs will be in the low 90s and lows will be in the low 70s.
LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
The period starts with UL ridging over the Wrn and Ern CONUS and a
deamplified trough over the Dakotas and another off the NE coast
Deep upper level ridging will remain in place over the SE CONUS until around Friday when an upper level trough in Canada will dig SEward over the Nrn Atlantic coast, steering another weak cold front across the Ern CONUS.
Negligible to slight (<20%) chances of rain through the week increasing to chance (20-40%) over the weekend.
Highs will be in the low 90s, possibly cooling to upper 80s on Friday. Lows will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all terminals.
Patchy fog may be possible at a few sites in the pre-dawn hours but with a drier airmass in place will not mention in TAFS.
Little if any chance of seeing convection at the terminals through the forecast cycle.
Moderate to weak northeasterly flow will prevail through around
Monday night next week.
As the pressure gradient increases over the Gulf slightly, winds may increase to near cautionary levels and waves may increase to 3 to 4 feet.
No fire weather concerns.
All of the area rivers are either below action stage or in action stage but receding.
A stretch of drier weather is expected over the next several days, so rivers should continue to return nearer to their normal levels.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 67 93 70 93 71 / 0 0 0 20 20
PANAMA CITY 72 89 75 90 75 / 0 0 0 10 10
DOTHAN 67 93 71 92 71 / 0 0 0 20 20
ALBANY 66 93 71 93 71 / 0 0 10 20 20
VALDOSTA 66 92 68 92 69 / 0 0 10 20 10
CROSS CITY 67 92 68 92 69 / 10 10 0 10 10
APALACHICOLA 71 88 75 88 75 / 10 0 0 10 10