Dothan Area Weather Forecast Oct 11

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Deep layer ridging and a dry airmass will continue through tonight.

After a warm afternoon (with above-average highs in the mid 80s),
the dry airmass and calm winds will allow temperatures to reach the
mid 50s (inland and away from the cities), which is average for
this time of year.

SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday Night]...

Weak high pressure at the surface and ridging aloft should provide
a stretch of dry and warm days and seasonably cool nights through the upcoming weekend.

Afternoon highs are expected to top out in the mid to upper 80s across much of the interior on both Saturday and Sunday, with a few of the normally warmer locations possibly reaching the 90 degree mark.

Overnight lows are still expected to be seasonably cool with mid to upper 50s away from the immediate coast on Saturday night, warming slightly to the lower 60s by Sunday night.

LONG TERM [Monday through Friday]...

Mainly dry weather is expected through next week.

Both the 11/00z ECMWF and 11/12z GFS show a frontal boundary approaching the area by late in the week with a low end chance of showers. Most of the upper level dynamics remain north of the area on these runs, and the frontal boundary appears to be weakening as it approaches the area.

Afternoon highs are expected to be mainly in the low to mid 80s with overnight lows mainly in the upper 50s to lower 60s inland with mid 60s along the coast.

AVIATION...

Unlimited vis and cigs are expected through at least 18 UTC Saturday.

Winds will be N to NW 4 to 8 KT, becoming W later this afternoon at KECP.

VFR conditions are likely to persist through this weekend.

MARINE...

With a weak surface pressure pattern expected to hold over the next few days, winds and seas are expected to remain quite low.

By early next week, however, a stronger ridge of high pressure is
forecast to build into our north, causing winds and seas to increase back into the moderate range, but likely still below headline criteria.

FIRE WEATHER...

Despite the rather dry airmass in place, we do not expect it to be dry enough for Red Flag conditions.

HYDROLOGY...

No significant hydrology concerns are expected through the next
seven days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee 55 88 54 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 0
Panama City 66 86 64 87 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dothan 57 86 58 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
Albany 57 86 59 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 57 88 57 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cross City 55 88 55 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 64 84 62 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.


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