NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible through early evening as an
approaching upper trough helps to enhance the afternoon seabreezes. The activity should primarily be confined to the far western and far eastern portions of the area.
Once the sun sets, the activity should quickly diminish, with dry conditions expected through the remainder of the overnight hours.
SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Saturday]...
Models continue the trend of less chance of showers and
thunderstorms as a low amplitude trough and associated surface cold front move across the region tomorrow.
With the slightly drier low levels and limited vertical motion this far south, have dropped PoPs to 10% or less through the end of the week.
Highs Thursday will once again range in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland.
In the wake of this weak system, seasonably cool and dry air will
settle over the area Friday night and into the weekend with overnight lows in the 50s and highs on Saturday in the mid to upper 80s.
LONG TERM [Saturday Night through Wednesday]...
Upper ridging will build over the area through Memorial Day and
into the middle of next week.
This will leave somewhat tranquil conditions in place with a seasonably cool start to the period and a gradual warm up into the early part of the week, with little or no rain outside of possible isolated showers along the sea breeze.
AVIATION [Through 18Z Thursday...
Other than brief period of early morning IFR cigs/vsby, VFR conditions are forecast to prevail through the forecast period.
Isolated showers are possible this afternoon, especially near KECP. However, coverage is expected to be to slim to include in the TAF.
Fairly low winds and seas will persist into Friday, when offshore
winds will increase in the wake of a surface cold front late Friday night into Saturday.
Seas will eventually build as well in the offshore legs.
Cautionary wind speeds can be expected Friday night.
Humidity values will remain well above critical levels for one more
On Friday, a much drier airmass will move into the region on gusty northerly winds.
This may lead to Red Flag conditions for inland portions of the Florida Panhandle during the afternoon.
A Fire Weather Watch will be necessary for this region for Friday.
No issues are forecast along area rivers for the foreseeable future.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 66 91 66 90 54 / 20 10 10 10 10
Panama City 71 87 70 89 63 / 20 10 10 10 10
Dothan 68 92 66 88 55 / 30 10 10 10 10
Albany 68 91 65 86 54 / 30 10 10 10 10
Valdosta 66 90 64 88 53 / 30 10 10 10 10
Cross City 66 89 66 89 57 / 20 10 10 10 10
Apalachicola 70 84 68 89 62 / 10 10 10 10 10