Dothan Area Weather Forecast Feb 21

Near Term [Through Tonight]...

Cold front is currently situated from near Alma to Valdosta to St.
George Island, and is continuing to press steadily southeastward.

All of the thunderstorm activity has exited the southeastern Big Bend, with only a few light showers hanging back along the front.

The front will continue to sag southward through the evening before stalling overnight just south of the forecast area as the boundary becomes parallel to the upper flow.

May see a few showers linger overnight and into the morning hours in the southeastern Big Bend just north of the stalled boundary.

Cooler temperatures are on tap for tonight as high pressure settles over the region.

However, no freezing temperatures are anticipated.

Short Term [Saturday Through Sunday Night]...

The airmass will modify quickly on Saturday as the surface high slides east and winds shift to the east and then southeast.

Expect highs to reach the upper 60s to lower 70s by afternoon.

By Saturday night, a shortwave moving through the base of the
broad eastern trough, will help pull the stalled frontal boundary
back north, with showers developing along the central Gulf Coast
and gradually pushing into the Florida Panhandle.

Expect showers and isolated thunderstorms to become more widespread and expand northward through the day on Sunday, with likely PoPs in the forecast.

Long Term [Monday Through Friday]...

A stationary boundary will stall over north Florida bringing cloud
cover and keep the weather unsettle until a cold front moves through Wednesday.

Behind the front high pressure will build in bringing drier air and cooler temperatures.

Aviation...

Low clouds will continue to clear from the west through the afternoon, with VFR conditions returning to KTLH and KVLD by around 20Z.

VFR conditions should then prevail through Saturday afternoon.

Marine...

Winds and seas are on the decline in the wake of this mornings
frontal passage.

Will let the Small Craft Advisory expire at 21Z with the issuance of the afternoon forecast.

Offshore winds tonight and early Saturday will turn to the east, southeast, and then south into early Sunday.

However, conditions are forecast to remain below headline criteria into early next week.

Fire Weather...

Humidity values will drop into the lower to mid 20s across portions of the area on Saturday as a drier airmass moves into the region.

However, with light winds and low ERC values, no Red Flag conditions are expected.

By Sunday into Monday, low-level moisture will be on the increase, with no fire weather concerns expected.

Hydrology...

All area rivers are now below flood stage, with only a few in action
stage.

Rainfall from this morning`s squall line brought an average of 0.75 to 1.25 inches to much of the region.

These rainfall totals are not expected to have a major impact on river stages.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee 41 72 53 72 58 / 10 0 10 50 40
Panama City 46 69 57 68 59 / 0 0 10 60 30
Dothan 40 70 52 69 55 / 0 0 10 60 40
Albany 38 70 49 70 54 / 0 0 10 60 40
Valdosta 43 72 50 73 57 / 10 0 10 50 40
Cross City 52 72 53 75 58 / 30 20 10 50 30
Apalachicola 49 66 56 67 60 / 10 0 10 50 30

TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.

GM...
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.


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