NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Drier air on WV imagery and general subsidence should limit
coverage of any shower/tstm activity which can sustain itself into
the evening over north FL. This will lead to clearing and dry conditions overnight with overnight lows in the lower 70s inland and upper 70s along the coast.
SHORT TERM [Monday Through Wednesday]...
We will see a transition early this week from the hot/slightly drier pattern we`ve had over the weekend to wetter than normal weather by mid week.
Flat upper ridge will break down by Wednesday and allow moisture/ ascent to become more established Tuesday into Wednesday, especially over our northwest counties in sern AL/swrn-central GA.
Have maintained increased PoPs in those regions each afternoon relative to the Big Bend region where slgt chance wording remains valid Monday and Tuesday.
By Wednesday rain chances will increase across the whole area.
Monday appears to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the upper 90s F for inland areas /and could even touch triple digits in the typical warmer locales in s-central GA/. High temperatures around 90F will be more common by Wednesday given increased clouds.
LONG TERM [Wednesday Night through Sunday]...
Not much change with the forecast pattern for later this week into next weekend, as broad low amplitude trough becomes established over the central Gulf Coast/southeast states. An attendant surface front will likewise slide swd into the region.
Combination of these features suggests return to wetter than normal pattern, which will also likely cap high temperatures a bit below normal each day.
We could see some heavy rainfall at times, with WPC painting 3-3.5" totals on average over the tri-state region.
AVIATION [Through 18Z Monday]...
VFR conditions will prevail will a low chance of experiencing a TSRA at the terminals this afternoon and evening.
With high pressure centered overhead, winds will be light and even variable at times on Monday.
Winds and seas will remain should remain light through the week.
No fire weather concerns.
Area river levels will continue to slowly decline or remain steady into late this week.
However, with forecast of increased rain chances for most of the upcoming week, including the potential for some heavy rain by mid week, we could see some rises on area rivers by next weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 73 98 73 95 74 / 10 20 20 30 20
Panama City 77 90 77 88 78 / 10 20 20 30 30
Dothan 72 96 73 93 73 / 20 30 30 60 30
Albany 73 98 73 94 73 / 20 30 30 50 30
Valdosta 73 99 72 96 73 / 10 20 30 30 20
Cross City 72 95 73 94 73 / 10 20 20 20 20
Apalachicola 76 90 77 89 78 / 10 10 10 20 20