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Dothan Area Weather Evening Discussion Feb 2

Near Term [Through Tonight]...

A Clipper System Currently Moving Into The Southeastern States Will
Bring A Few Clouds Along With Winds Shifting To The Northwest
Overnight. It Will Not Be As Cold With Lows Generally Around 40 For
Our Western Zones And Mid 30s East Of The River. A Few Locations
Such As Tallahassee, Perry And Cross City May Briefly Drop To The
Freezing Mark Around Daybreak.

Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]...

Another Shortwave Is Expected To Dive Into The Base Of The Mean
Eastern Trough On Sunday. However, With No Appreciable Change In
The Low-Level Airmass, High Temperatures Should Moderate A Few
Degrees From Today. One Final Shortwave On Sunday Night Will Usher In A Slightly Cooler Airmass For Monday, With Temperatures
Returning To Near Todays Levels.

Minimal Moisture Is Expected With Both Of These Systems With No Precipitation Expected.

By Monday Night, Another Shortwave Will Be Moving Into The Eastern
Conus. This System Is Expected To Be A Bit More Robust (Moisture-
Wise), With Several Hours Of Return Flow Expected Late Monday And
Monday Night, As Low Pressure Develops Over The Western Gulf.

Isentropic Lift Ahead Of The Low May Be Strong Enough By Early
Tuesday Morning To Generate Showers West Of The Apalachicola
River.

Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

The Upper Pattern Is Forecast To Become Increasingly Zonal And
Progressive Through The End Of The Week. This Will Allow Several
Fast-Moving Systems To Impact The Region.

The First System Will Produce A Period Of Showers During The Day On Tuesday As Weak Low Pressure Moves Along The Northern Gulf Coast.

Another System Will Impact The Region Beginning On Thursday, With
Showers Possibly Lingering Into The Weekend.

While None Of These Systems Looks Particulary Strong, The Weather Will Likely Be Unsettled For The Latter Half Of The Week.

With The Flat Upper Pattern, And Lack Of Cold Air With These
Systems, Temperatures Are Expected To Be Above Normal Throughout The Extended Period.

Aviation [Through 18z Sunday]...

Vfr Conditions Throughout The Forecast Period With Only A
Scattering Of Mid Level Clouds Overnight.

Winds Will Shift To The Northwest In The Wake Of A Dry Front/Trough And Remain There Through Sunday.

Marine...

A Weak Upper System Will Cross The Area Tonight, Leading To A
Modest Increase In Offshore Winds Late Tonight.

After Weakening During The Day On Sunday, A Similar Offshore Surge Is Expected Late Sunday Night.

Onshore Flow Will Develop Late Monday Night Into Tuesday As A Weak Area Of Low Pressure Crosses The Waters.

This Will Be Followed By Offshore Flow On Wednesday.

Fire Weather...

Red Flag Conditions Are Ongoing Across The Southeast Corner Of
Alabama And Portions Of North Florida This Saturday Afternoon.

For Sunday, We Have Upgraded The Fire Weather Watch To A Red Flag Warning For All Of The Florida Panhandle And Big Bend Except For The Coastal Strip Sunday Due To Long Durations Of Low Relative Humidity And Forecast Dispersions At Or Above 75.

Hydrology...

Rainfall During The Upcoming Week Is Expected To Remain Relatively Light And Have Minimal Impact On Areas Rivers And Streams.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...

Tallahassee 34 67 35 65 43 / 0 0 0 10 10
Panama City 46 67 43 63 52 / 0 0 0 10 30
Dothan 40 65 37 62 48 / 0 0 0 10 30
Albany 34 64 34 62 44 / 0 0 0 10 20
Valdosta 35 65 34 63 41 / 0 0 0 10 10
Cross City 32 68 34 66 39 / 0 0 0 10 10
Apalachicola 41 66 41 62 51 / 0 0 0 10 20

Tae Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Fl...

Fire Weather Watch From Sunday Afternoon Through Sunday
Evening For Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-South Walton-Washington.

Red Flag Warning Until 7 Pm Est /6 Pm Cst/ This Evening For
Coastal Bay-Coastal Wakulla-Inland Bay-Inland Wakulla-Leon- Washington.

Ga...None.

Al...

Red Flag Warning Until 5 Pm Cst This Afternoon For Coffee-Dale-
Geneva-Henry-Houston.

Gm...None.


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